BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Jacksonville St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 19 Conference: ASUN Conference Record: (5-0) Overall: (9-2) Overall Strength =  135.11

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2022 Neutral W   146.85  42  17   1B  58 (  6-  5) Stephen F. Austin      11.73     13.27                      
  2 09/03/2022 Home    W   122.89  35  17   1B  97 (  8-  4) Davidson              -12.22     30.22                      
  3 09/10/2022 Away    W   138.25  34   3   1B 110 (  2-  9) Murray St               3.14     27.86                      
  4 09/17/2022 Away    L   109.78  17  54   1A  79 (  5-  7) Tulsa                 -25.33    -11.67                      
  5 09/24/2022 Away    W   140.81  52  21   1B 101 (  3-  8) Nicholls St             5.70     25.30                      
  6 10/01/2022 Home    W * 125.19  35  28   1B  51 (  5-  6) Kennesaw St            -9.92     16.92                      
  7 10/15/2022 Neutral W * 128.07  47  31   1B  81 (  1- 10) North Alabama          -7.04     23.04                      
  8 10/22/2022 Home    L   113.57  14  31   1B  27 (  9-  4) SE Louisiana          -21.54      4.54                      
  9 10/29/2022 Away    W * 157.28  40  16   1B  32 (  7-  4) Austin Peay            22.17      1.83                      
 10 11/12/2022 Home    W * 150.46  42  17   1B  38 (  7-  5) Eastern Kentucky       15.34      9.66                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    W * 153.08  40  17   1B  28 (  5-  6) Central Arkansas       17.96      5.04                      
      Averages             135.11  36.2 22.9

Best game:  157.28 = 24 point win over Austin Peay
Worst game: 109.78 = 37 point loss to Tulsa
Team stdev:  16.23